Thursday, November 4, 2010

Currently sitting at 67-50 after a disapointing 7-6 week 8. The following is my record picking by team, and the numbers in parentheses are the number of games above or below .500 in games involving those two teams. Buffalo is standing strong as my last perfect team and the Seahawks kept up their trouble making, remaining at one win.

7-0: Bills
6-1: Lions, Vikings, Cardinals, Falcons, Giants
5-2: Colts
5-3: Jaguars, Titans, Packers, Saints
4-3: Steelers, Dolphins, Chiefs, Browns, Ravens, Eagles, Panthers, Buccaneers
4-4: Raiders, Chargers, 49ers, Rams
3-4: Bengals, Jets, Patriots, Texans, Bears
3-5: Broncos, Redskins
2-5: Cowboys
1-6: Seahawks


NFC (25-16)
TB vs ATL(+6)- On one side, the Buccaneers are turning into the late surprise team of the year, slowing showing the ability to win. On the other, a Falcons team that we know is talented, but is much less consistent. It’s hard to feel at all comfortable with a team that wins a shoot out with the Bengals. Their defense, which was playing well earlier has looked highly suspect recently. I think the Falcons can pull things together and make a playoff run, but as of week 9, Buccaneers win.
NO vs CAR(+3)- The Saints haven’t been a Super Bowl team, but after their Steelers beat down, they’ve shown they still have some hop on their step. Possible let down game potential here, but no worries from my end. Saints win.
ARI vs MIN(+10)- Will the Cardinals get back on the ways of looking terrible, yet winning, or will they just continue to look bad? I have no idea what the Vikings will look like, with Favre as injured as any player I can ever remember. This one’s tough, but I’ll take the underperformer to get things going rather than the previous over performer to return to form. Vikings win.
NYG vs SEA(0)- The Giants running game is beast, and they’re looking really good. After the Eagles collapse against Tennessee, I’m confidently calling them the best team in the NFC east (and quite possibly the NFC) for the time being. And coming off a bye, it would take a major surprise by the Seahawks for them to lose. However, given my past picking record, maybe that’s a good reason to pick the Seahawks. Giants win.
DAL vs GB(-1)- I have finally rid myself of the feeling that the Cowboys will eventually get things together. Meanwhile, the Packers majorly got things together. Packers win.

AFC (22-17)
NE vs CLE(0)-
Really tempted to pick the upset here, however, picking an upset when the team’s previous game was a monumental upset usually isn’t a good idea. An upset is an upset because the one team isn’t very good, and it’s usually too much to ask for them to put two great games together back to back. But the Patriots are possibly the most suspect one loss team in memory, so it could go either way. I’ll take my gut and say Patriots win.
MIA vs BAL(+2)- As high as I am on Miami, this will be a tough match up as they’ve had a rough post bye week, AFC North stretch. Baltimore, meanwhile, is fresh off bye week and looking to capitalize on the Steelers loss last week. Ravens gut this one out. Baltimore wins.
SD vs HOU(-1)- The demise of the Texans could be imminent. They have the defense for an explosive offensive team, but that offense has taken its fair share of off days. Expect a field day for the Chargers offense. The Chargers defense has been equally inept at times, of course, so there could be a lot of lightning in this game. I’ll take the Chargers to come out on top.
KC vs OAK(+1)- Okay, someone’s got to stop this Oakland run (though if the Raiders do decent, that means that their first round pick, which the Patriots have, will be lower. And I’m in favor of not handing Belicheck easy talent). Kansas City should be able to slow down the Raiders offense (did I just say that?), which again puts the ball in the hands of Matt Cassel and the offense. That is scary, but they’ve done a decent job recently. Chiefs win.
PIT vs CIN(0)- The Steelers will be ticked and take it out on the Bengals receivers who are more focused on the T.Ocho Show. Steelers win.

INT (19-16)
CHI vs BUF(+6)-
Two over time losses against good teams? I can’t believe what I’m saying, but here it goes: I’M SOLD ON THE BUFFALO BILLS!!! Maybe not for long, but after last week’s game, I thought to myself, “This team isn’t 0-16 caliber. Unless they’re playing a really top notch team next week, I’m taking them.” I fully expected to back out of that commitment once I saw the match up and thought about it, but the Bears are the perfect team to lose to the Bills. All it takes is a little Jay Cutler anti-magic to take them from a competitive team to a bad one. On top of that, other bad teams would think “here’s a game we can win” when playing the Bills. A team like the Bears simply doesn’t want to be the team that loses to the Bills. Bills are the last team to get their first win.
NYJ vs DET(+4)- The Lions are another team that has very much improved from their colossal ineptitude the past two seasons. The Jets, however, are still a good defensive team, even if they are coming off an offensive goose egg. Could be a very competitive game, but I’ll go with the Jets.
IND vs PHI(+4)- In my Eagles experience, this is not a game they win. 1) They usually don’t play well against the AFC. 2) While their defense has the knack of absolutely shutting down star running backs from time to time, shutting down star QBs/passing attacks isn’t as common of an occurrence. 3) Should the defense hold up and have a lead going into the fourth quarter, the afore mentioned star quarterbacks have a way of picking apart their defense and getting back into the game. I expect Vick to play well and the Eagles offense is a good matchup against the Colts defense, but ultimately, the Colts come out on top.

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